On April 4, 2016, a group of scientists, conservationists and philanthropists from Illinois and around the world urged Illinois' leaders and utilities to do all in their power to save Illinois' nuclear plants so they can provide clean energy for decades to come.
Signers include climate scientists James Hansen, Kerry Emanuel, Ken Caldeira, Tom Wigley, Raymond Pierrehumbert, and Frank Abbot; Whole Earth Catalog Founder, Stewart Brand; Nobel Prize winner Burton Richter; President Emeritus of the Missouri Botanical Center, Peter Raven; Pulitzer-Prize winning historian Richard Rhodes; former President of the Nature Conservancy; and many others.
April 4, 2016
The Honorable Bruce Rauner, Governor of Illinois
The Honorable Michael Madigan, Speaker, Illinois House of Representatives
The Honorable John Cullerton, President, Illinois Senate
The Honorable Christine Radogno, Minority Leader, Illinois Senate
The Honorable Jim Durkin, Minority Leader, Illinois House of Representatives
Attorney General Lisa Madigan
Mr. Christopher M. Crane, CEO, Exelon
Mr. Mauricio Gutierrez, CEO, NRG
Dear Governor Rauner, Speaker Madigan, President Cullerton, Attorney General Madigan, Minority Leaders Radogno and Durkin, Mr. Crane, and Mr. Gutierrez,
We are writing as scientists, conservationists and environmentalists to urge you to do everything in your power to keep all of Illinois’s nuclear power plants running for their full lifetimes.
Illinois generates more zero-emissions electricity than any other state. Most of it comes from the state’s six nuclear power plants, which produce about half of Illinois’ total generation and 90 percent of its low-carbon generation. These plants are in their prime and could stay in service many more years and even decades.
Unfortunately, Illinois is at risk of losing one or more of its nuclear plants and with them the progress the state has made in clean energy.
If Clinton and Quad Cities nuclear plants were replaced by natural gas, carbon emissions would immediately increase the equivalent of adding two million cars to the road. If they were replaced by coal, the carbon emissions would more than double.
The rise in conventional air pollutants from moving from nuclear to coal or natural gas will increase premature deaths.[i] One study found that world nuclear energy has prevented an average of 1.8 million premature deaths from fossil fuel pollution, and could prevent up to seven million additional ones in the future.[ii]
Using the same methodology, Clinton and Quad prevented 18,640 premature deaths from coal pollution. And if they run their 60-year lives, Clinton and Quad nuclear plants will prevent between 2,468 and 5,474 deaths from coal.[iii] If their licenses are extended to 80 years, a possibility the Nuclear Regulatory Commission is now considering for other plants, those numbers would double.
Illinois’ nuclear plants are at risk of being closed prematurely in part because they are excluded from federal and state clean energy policies. First, the federal production tax credit subsidy for wind is not available to nuclear energy. This credit sometimes turns Illinois wholesale electricity prices negativeby encouraging wind farms to overproduce during periods of low demand when no one wants their electricity and it threatens to overload the grid. Nuclear plants must pay to supply the grid during temporary wind surges, while wind farms continue earning money from the credit.
Second, the Illinois Renewable Portfolio Standard, which requires 25 percent renewable energy by 2025, excludes nuclear, further disadvantaging Illinois’ largest source of clean energy.
It would take many years for the Illinois wind and solar sectors, which together comprise six percent of the state’s current generation, to grow enough to replace nuclear’s output. And because solar and wind cannot provide the reliable power of nuclear, much of the nuclear energy would have to be made up for with coal or natural gas.
We encourage all of you to find a fair and reasonable solution to keep all Illinois nuclear plants running for many years to come.
One solution might be to expand Illinois’ Renewable Portfolio Standard to include nuclear energy. Such a change would allow Illinois to be more ambitious, achieving 70 percent or more of its electricity from clean energy. The standard should be set so that renewable energy has plenty of room to grow while ensuring that Illinois does not go backwards.
Illinois is at an urgent juncture. Failure to keep all of Illinois’ nuclear power plants running for the full lifetimes will result in more air pollution, and further cause Illinois to underperform on climate. Action now would establish all of you as leaders in safeguarding clean air today and the climate for future generations.
Dorian Abbot, Department of Geophysical Sciences, University of Chicago
Barry Brook, Professor and Chair of Environmental Sustainability, University of Tasmania
Ken Caldeira, Carnegie Institution Dept of Global Ecology, Stanford University
Jerry Coyne, Emeritus Professor of Ecology and Evolution, the University of Chicago
F. Stuart Chapin III, Distinguished Professor Emeritus of Ecology, University of Alaska Fairbanks
David Dudgeon, Chair of Ecology & Biodiversity, School of Biological Sciences, The University of Hong Kong, China
Erle C. Ellis, Ph.D, Professor, Geography & Environmental Systems
Kerry Emanuel, Professor of Atmospheric Science, Massachusetts Institute of Technology
Joseph Fargione, Ph.D, ecologist
James Hansen, Climate Science, Awareness, and Solutions Program, Columbia University, Earth Institute, Columbia University
Chris Johnson, Professor of Wildlife Conservation, University of Tasmania, Australia
David W. Keith, Gordon McKay Professor of Applied Physics, Paulson School of Engineering and Applied Sciences, Professor of Public Policy, Harvard Kennedy School, Harvard University
Pushker Kharecha, Climate Science, Awareness, and Solutions Program, Columbia University, Earth Institute, Columbia University
William F. Laurance, PhD, FAA, FAAAS, FRSQ, Distinguished Research Professor & Australian Laureate, Prince Bernhard Chair in International Nature Conservation, Director of the Centre for Tropical Environmental and Sustainability Science (TESS), James Cook University Cairns, Queensland 4878, Australia
David W. Lea, Professor, Earth Science, University of California
Joe Mascaro, Program Manager for Impact Initiatives, Planet Labs
Robert May, Oxford OM AC Kt FRS, Department of Zoology, University of Oxford
Michelle Marvier, Professor, Environmental Studies and Sciences, Santa Clara University
Richard Muller, Professor of Physics, University of California, Berkeley; Co-Founder and Scientific Director, Berkeley Earth
Reed F. Noss, Provost's Distinguished Research Professor, Department of Biology, University of Central Florida
Raymond Pierrehumbert, Halley Professorship of Physics, University of Oxford
Peter H. Raven, President Emeritus, Missouri Botanical Garden. Winner of the National Medal of Science, 2001
Frank M. Richter, Sewell Avery Distinguished Professor of Geophysics, The University of Chicago
Burton Richter, Nobel Prize Winner, Physics, 1976
Cagan H. Sekercioglu, professor of conservation ecology, Department of Biology, University of Utah; former senior scientist at the Stanford University Center for Conservation Biology at the University of Utah.
Jeff Terry, Professor of Physics, Illinois Institute of Technology
Tom Wigley, Climate and Energy Scientist, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO
Scholars, Conservationists and Environmentalists
Daniel Aegerter, Chairman, Armada Investment
John Asafu-Adjaye, PhD, Senior Fellow, Institute of Economic Affairs, Ghana, Associate Professor of Economics, The University of Queensland, Australia
Frank Batten Jr., President, The Landmark Foundation
Stewart Brand, founder, Whole Earth Catalogue
Gwyneth Cravens, author, Power to Save the World
John Crary, Crary Family Foundation
Christopher Foreman, author, The Promise & Peril of Environmental Justice, School of Public Policy, University of Maryland
Valerie Gardner, President, Climate Coalition
Joshua S. Goldstein, Prof. Emeritus of International Relations, American University
Gene Grechek, Vice President, American Nuclear Society
Garrett Gruener, Managing Director, Gruener Ventures
Mel Guymon, Guymon Family Foundation
Andrew Klein, President, American Nuclear Society
Steve Kirsch, CEO, Token
Joe Lassiter, Professor, Harvard Business School
John Lavine, Professor and Medill Dean Emeritus, Northwestern University
Martin Lewis, Department of Geography, Stanford University
Jessica Lovering, Director of Energy, Breakthrough Institute
Mark Lynas, author, The God Species, Six Degrees
Steve McCormick, Former CEO, The Nature Conservancy
Alan Medsker, Coordinator, Environmental Progress - Illinois
Norris McDonald, President, Center for Environment, Commerce & Energy/African American Environmentalist Association
Paul Robbins, Director, Nelson Institute for Environmental Studies
Carl Page, President, Anthropocene Institute
Steven Pinker, Harvard University, Better Angels of Our Nature
Rachel Pritzker, Pritzker Innovation Fund
Steve Rayner, James Martin Professor of Science & Civilization, Director, Institute for Science, Innovation & Society, Professorial Fellow, Keble College, University of Oxford
Richard Rhodes, Pulitzer Prize recipient, author of Nuclear Renewal and The Making of the Atomic Bomb
Ray A. Rothrock, Partner Emeritus Venrock, venture capitalist
Rathin Roy, Director, National Institute of Public Finance and Policy, Delhi, India
Samir Saran, Vice President, Observer Research Foundation, Delhi, India
Michael Shellenberger, President, Environmental Progress, Time Magazine Hero of the Environment
Robert Stone, filmmaker, “Pandora’s Promise”
Samuel Thernstrom, Executive Director, Energy Innovation Reform Project
Stephen Tindale, Alvin Weinberg Foundation, former Executive Director, Greenpeace UK
Barrett P. Walker, Alex C. Walker Foundation
Mason Willrich, author, Modernizing America's Electricity Infrastructure.
[iii] Low-end value based on Clean Air Task Force assessment of 7500 deaths in 2014 from coal use (http://www.catf.us/fossil/problems/power_plants/). High-end value based on EPA analysis for 2016 from N. Fann, C.M. Fulcher, and K. Baker, "The Recent and Future Health Burden of Air Pollution Apportioned Across U.S. Sectors", Environ. Sci. Technol., 2013, 47 (8), pp 3580–3589.